Tag Archives: Libya

Disaster, disaster, or clean energy?

21 Mar

Doesn't this make more sense?

The crisis in Japan is forcing nations around the world to reconsider the use of nuclear energy in their renewable/clean energy plans. Germany has taken reactors offline. Switzerland has shelved new nuclear development proposals. But, on the other side of the spectrum, most nuclear countries seem undeterred, especially the US.

President Obama reiterated his administration’s goal of 80 percent of U.S. electricity coming from clean energy by 2035. Besides wind, solar, natural gas and “clean coal” (bullshit), nuclear is still a part of the plan.

I’m no engineer and no expert on energy policy. But it’s disturbingly coincidental to find the clean energy debate now sandwiched between the Libyan and Japanese crisis. On one side we have an oil-producing Arab dictator-then friend-and now dictator again who threatened the world with nuclear proliferation plans less than a decade ago.

On the other side, we have radiation fears emitting from Japan. Massive international aid and patience on international markets will be needed to stabilize the country over the next decade. While the tsunami inflicted most of the damage, these catastrophic nuclear concerns may match it.

So where do we go from here?

Optimistically, it’s an opportunity. The greatest failure of the Bush II presidency was not seizing the chance to ween America of oil starting September 12th, 2001. That moment could have been the catalyst for mobilizing a nation towards a radical change. Instead, we were basically told to hop in our Hummers and drive out to the mall in the ‘burbs. Instead, we regressed.

Now, we find ourselves at another critical junction on the path to a cleaner, sustainable future. The idea of nuclear energy, the investment mechanism, is crippled. It’s going to stay that way. Nobody is going to want a new plant down the street, over the hill, or upstream.

Is this the moment we finally alter our policy towards a radical investment in the expansion of clean energy infrastructure? If not, what are we waiting for? China?

The Middle Kingdom surpassed the US in a number of green-tech categories this last year. But is it’s ability over- or underrated? The optimistic answer, according to the article, lies somewhere in the middle. The Worldwatch Institute blog has a fascinating read on issues affecting the development of wind power in China. Unsurprisingly, one of the main conclusions is the necessity for more investment in smart grids.

Grid capacity presents a huge bottleneck to Chinese wind development, and the issue is not likely to be resolved easily considering the interests involved. This reality is no secret to the Chinese people, especially those in the energy industry who are well aware that grid projects usually take much longer to be approved and built than wind farms… The good news is that the central government is aware of these issues and has begun to take rational steps toward a healthier development path… for the 12th Five-Year Plan period (2011–15), a major task of the agency will be to invest heavily in grid infrastructure projects as a way to address the grid-access problem.

One area where China may be underrated:

China is planning to direct the lion’s share of its estimated $100 billion smart grid buildout over the next five years toward massive new transmission systems to connect solar and wind resources in the west to population centers in the east. But at the same time, the country is installing millions of smart meters at a time, Tang said — and in China, unlike the U.S., a million meters can be a pilot project.

E-mailing Friends in Africa

22 Feb

My man Simba is all over South African media, just reppin' stuff like Airwaves!

My dear friend Simbarashe, whom I met while studying in South Africa, and I have maintained an email correspondence touching on political and social issues in our respective necks of the woods dating back to 2005. Our conversations have grown over the years to include dozens of friends, mostly from southern African countries living there or abroad. I had initially intended to send this email out to them, but thought it relevant enough to post here as well.

Hello Everyone,
My cousin recently sent me this article on the impact of the “Middle East” protests on African regime change. Please let me know what you think.
I took particular note of this exchange:
I couldn’t help reading a little more into this comment than I think Manji actually intended. People want freedoms but they are offered only a ballot box to express that privilege, knowing that the likely result is an intractable incumbent or incompetency. Beyond that, the pessimist in me can’t help questioning another, less appealing tone to the comment. People certainly want freedom, but are they actually willing to act upon it, to embrace the responsibility that entails?
On the one hand, I think of Egypt, Tunisia, Libya and other places knowing that what broke those countries will not be fixed overnight. On the other, I keep coming back to my experience in China and the idea of the “Beijing consensus.” Is a nation in ruins better off letting a strong state make decisions? Most people cringe at the notion. But I think it still comes back to our conversations of leadership. How to foster strong, honest leaders? African countries, north or south, looking to right the ship are going to need a strong leader to inspire and unite their people.
I know we Americans had hoped Barack Obama would be that character for us. I am at the point where I am losing hope in that contention. Not only in him, but in the entire institution of American-style democracy, which seems to be all en vogue, but in action, practically useless.
My best to you all,
Miles

CCP Will Not Fall

21 Feb

 

Police talk to a couple of men filming interviews in Chengdu's central Tianfu square while I was on vacation there last year.

Don’t hold your breath. Recent news of protests in China will not amount to revolutionary change as seen in the Middle East. But damn you, CCP, for perpetuating this interminable argumentative paradox.

 

It’s safe to say that most foreigners who have earned the expatriate title living in China have a love-hate relationship with the country. Obviously, most find enough weight on the pro side of the scale to remain. Still the vicissitudes of daily life provide ample sway.

While in China, friends and I seem to spend an inordinate amount of time blasting the inconsistent rationality of most things Chinese. Yet, as soon as I return home, the tables turn. I find myself unwittingly and yet seemingly forced to defend China, warts and all.

A perfect example of this behavioral paradox manifested itself this weekend. I was reading Michael Turton’s blog, a man I generally agree with and find quite insightful. He posted something to the effect of the Confucius Institute is a covert international spy network set up by the CCP. It was bold, and reaching; I saved the link.

China’s lack of an exportable (soft) culture is seen as a huge hole in its PR toolbox. There are plans aplenty to rectify this. For instance, the government has promised millions in funding to try to set up a 24-hour English news channel a la BBC or CNN. The idea being that it could spread the “China voice,” more effectively exposing the world to the country’s (read: the CCP’s) opinion on international matters. The Confucius Institute, essentially a mandarin language center, has been the party’s most successful attempt at garnering an allegedly non-political and respectable Chinese presence abroad.

It should come as no surprise that candidates hoping to work for the institute are thoroughly vetted by the supervising body. Foremost is the increasingly illogical yet persistent fear of a country offering a visa to a Chinese who might defect and never return home. But beyond that, I am sure the powers that be want those representing the country to be loyal and patriotic– as would any state-run enterprise abroad.

Stories of spy games and blacklisting seem to me unsubstantiated at best and not surprising to say the least. To assume government organizations abroad are not players in international policy is foolish. Not to sound like a conspiracy theorist myself, but I think US history (most notably Central and South America) assures us that our own “national interests” have met these means over the years.

So right as I was about to post this rebuttal, the CCP went ahead and made itself look like an asshole again locking up alleged dissidents for fear of Middle East-inspired protests. I certainly don’t condone or support this effort, yet it also doesn’t surprise me.

Unlike the Northern African nations who are just now realizing they played their cards wrong, the CCP has China by the balls. The New York Times and others calling the crack down a show of “nervousness” is more than a stretch. Reports peg the number of arrests and lockdowns at around 90. Mind you that Chinese authorities could arrest the entire population of Bahrain, Libya, Tunisia and Egypt combined and there would still be 1.2 billion people going about business as usual.

The amazing, albeit horrifying, aspect of these events is the individual willingness within the police state to crack down on dissidents. There must be at least a few intelligence officers who go home at night and scrub their hands until they bleed. But for whatever reason, I imagine that number to be practically infinitesimal. The fact that unknown streams of normal netizens log on as pro bono nationalist hackers is a quick reminder of how strong support for the party remains.

So come what may of these arrests, the CCP isn’t going to flinch. These North African regimes are falling because they have failed to provide basic societal needs– security and opportunity. While they have ignored festering tensions among the masses, the CCP has not. There is a brutal mastery in manipulation of public accord, a wave of the wand China knows well.

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